Saturday 2 March 2013

ICHIMOKU STRATEGIES

Figure 1
Tenkan Sen/Kijun Sen Cross

The tenkan sen/kijun sen cross is one of the most traditional trading strategies within the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo system. The signal for this strategy is given when the tenkan sen crosses over the kijun sen. If the tenkan sen crosses above the kijun sen, then it is a bullish signal. Likewise, if the tenkan sen crosses below the kijun sen, then that is a bearish signal. Like all strategies within the Ichimoku system, the tenkan sen/kijun sen cross needs to be viewed in terms of the bigger Ichimoku picture before making any trading decisions, as this will give the strategy the best chances of success.

In general, the tenkan sen/kijun sen strategy can be classified into three major classifications: strong, neutral and weak. 


STRONG TENKAN SEN/KIJUN SEN CROSS SIGNAL


A strong tenkan sen/kijun sen cross Buy signal takes place when a bullish cross happens above the kumo.
A strong tenkan sen/kijun sen cross Sell signal takes place when a bearish cross happens below the kumo.


NEUTRAL TENKAN SEN/KIJUN SEN CROSS SIGNAL


A neutral tenkan sen/kijun sen cross Buy signal takes place when a bullish cross happens within the kumo.
A neutral tenkan sen/kijun sen cross Sell signal takes place when a bearish cross happens within the kumo.


WEAK TENKAN SEN/KIJUN SEN CROSS SIGNAL


A weak tenkan sen/kijun sen cross Buy signal takes place when a bullish cross happens below the kumo.
A weak tenkan sen/kijun sen cross Sell signal takes place when a bearish cross happens above the kumo.

See the chart in Figure 1 above.


Chikou Span Confirmation


Figure 2
Figure 3

As with the tenkan sen/kijun sen cross strategy, the savvy Ichimoku trader will make good use of the chikou span to confirm any tenkan sen/kijun sen cross signal. Each of the three classifications of the tenkan sen/kijun sen cross outlined above can be further classified based on the chikou span's location in relation to the price curve at the time of the cross. If the cross is a "Buy" signal and the chikou span is above the price curve at that point in time, this will add greater strength to that buy signal. Likewise, if the cross is a "Sell" signal and the chikou span is below the price curve at that point in time, this will provide additional confirmation to that signal. If the chikou span's location in relation to the price curve is the opposite of the kijun sen cross's sentiment, then that will weaken the signal.

See the chart in Figures 2 & 3 above.

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